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A Professional Preview of UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Leading up to every UFC event in 2024, the highly esteemed UFC reporter Aaron Bronsteter, talented producer Dan Fernandes, and skilled writer/editor Mike Johnston engage in an analytical exercise aimed at defying the odds. By meticulously studying various sportsbooks, they craft four betting predictions for fight enthusiasts: a lock each for a three-leg parlay, along with an additional favourite, underdog, and dart throw wager.
Exciting Lineup at UFC Fight Night
Following a one-week hiatus subsequent to the riveting UFC 300 event, the octagon action resumes at the Apex with a 13-fight card this Saturday. The upcoming UFC events are headlined by flyweight matchups featuring notable contenders Matheus Nicolau and Alex Perez commanding the spotlight this weekend.
Featured Fights and Viewing Information
Don’t miss the exhilarating showdown between Matheus Nicolau and Alex Perez at UFC Fight Night, airing on SN360 and Sportsnet+ with coverage starting at 5 p.m. ET / 2 p.m. PT on Saturday, April 27. For a front-row seat to all the action, catch UFC Fight Night on Sportsnet.
The full fight card includes:
- Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez
- Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov
- Ariane Lipski vs. Karine Silva
- Austen Lane vs. Jhonata Diniz
- Jonathan Pearce vs. David Onama
- Tim Means vs. Uros Medic
And on the preliminary card:
- Rani Yahya vs. Victor Henry
- Austin Hubbard vs. Michal Figlak
- Don’Tale Mayes vs. Caio Machado
- Marnic Mann vs. Ketlen Souza
- Chris Padilla vs. James Llontop
- Ivana Petrovic vs. Liang Na
- Gabriel Benitez vs. Maheshate Hayisaer
Cage Locks and Parlay Predictions
The team’s strategy involves selecting the most secure bet, or the “lock” of the week, to form a “three-headed monster parlay.” Their picks for the current event include:
- Aaron’s prediction: Lane vs. Diniz does not go the distance -800 (BetWay)
- Dan’s prediction: Victor Henry to win outright -420 (BetRivers)
- Mike’s prediction: Spann vs. Guskov under 2.5 rounds -650 (DraftKings)
Combined odds for the three-legged parlay offer an intriguing challenge at -165, with a potential win of $60.72. As dedicated analysts, their current 2024 record stands at 4-9, navigating through a total of -$391.73 in winnings from $100 bets.
Confident Choices and Favorites
The group also highlights their favorite fighter with odds shorter than -200, showcasing their utmost confidence in:
- Aaron’s choice: Lane vs. Diniz does not start Rd 2 -176 (FanDuel)
- Dan’s choice: Caio Machado -115 (Bet Way)
- Mike’s choice: Matheus Nicolau -180 (DraftKings)
With a careful selection process, each analyst presents a solid favorite with prospects of securing victory in their respective bouts, aiming to enhance their 2024 records and accumulated winnings.
Predicting Underdog Triumphs
Identifying potential underdog fighters capable of triumphing on the fight card, the team highlights:
- Aaron’s underdog pick: Gabriel Benitez +164 (FanDuel)
- Dan’s underdog pick: Arianne Lipski +135 (Caesars)
- Mike’s underdog pick: David Onama +140 (Bodog)
These calculated selections reflect the analysts’ keen insight into the dynamics of each matchup, underscoring the underdogs who hold the potential to emerge victorious and provide an exciting twist to the fight card.
Exploring Longshot Opportunities
Delving into longshot plays with odds of +500 or longer, the team explores:
- Aaron’s dart throw: Na Liang by Submission or Decision +550 (FanDuel)
- Dan’s dart throw: Alex Perez by Decision +550 (FanDuel)
- Mike’s dart throw: Matheus Nicolau to win by Submission in Rounds 2, 3, or 4 +550 (FanDuel)
These daring predictions provide an intriguing outlook on potential outcomes, showcasing the team’s willingness to explore high-risk, high-reward scenarios in the realm of UFC betting.
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